Checkmate On The Fossil Fuel Dialogues

Donald Trump’s aggression in the Middle East reflects the West’s intended move to dominate the world economy which in other words can be equated to Nazi Germany’s campaign to subjugate the world militarily and politically with dominance over agricultural, mineral and oil rich countries By Salam Rajesh The Unites States’ interference in the Middle East […]

The post Checkmate On The Fossil Fuel Dialogues first appeared on The Frontier Manipur.

Donald Trump’s aggression in the Middle East reflects the West’s intended move to dominate the world economy which in other words can be equated to Nazi Germany’s campaign to subjugate the world militarily and politically with dominance over agricultural, mineral and oil rich countries

By Salam Rajesh

The Unites States’ interference in the Middle East is largely seen by observers as a premeditated campaign to consolidate its hold on the oil rich nations which the western states require to sustain and bolster their global geopolitical dominance – politically and economically.

Donald Trump’s aggression in the Middle East reflects the West’s intended move to dominate the world economy which in other words can be equated to Nazi Germany’s campaign to subjugate the world militarily and politically with dominance over agricultural, mineral and oil rich countries.

The United Nations has since been in the thick of heated debates over ending fossil fuel resourcing, exploitation and production as a means to address critical concerns on global warming and climate extremes that otherwise are threatening humanity and the planet with dire consequences if actions are not taken up immediately.

The call to reduce and halt fossil fuel use extensively has been the centre-piece of extended dialogues in several of the climate conferences around the world – Belem, Abu Dhabi, Baku, Kunming, Montreal, Paris, Tokyo, and many more.

Yet, the dialogues have remained stuck in most instances, with world leaders like Donald Trump kicking aside these dialogues as a ‘waste of time’. The United States had recently moved away from these dialogues by distancing itself from the UN functionaries, with even Trump saying that climate change is a ‘lie’.

In recent climate conferences there were heated debates between fossil fuel lobbyists and those suggesting reducing and limiting fossil fuel use globally.

The COP30 at Belem in Brazil, held in November last year, came up with a statement on transitioning away from fossil fuels, supported by over 80 countries including Australia, Austria, Belgium, Cambodia, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Denmark, Fiji, Finland, Ireland, Jamaica, Kenya, Luxembourg, Marshall Islands, Mexico, Micronesia, Nepal, Netherlands, Panama, Spain, Slovenia, Vanuatu and Tuvalu.

The declaration is grounded in the scientific truth that fossil fuels are the primary driver of the climate crisis, and subsequently the Government of Colombia, in alliance with the Government of the Netherlands, announced the first international conference on just transition away from fossil fuels.

The conference proposed to be held at Santa Marta, Colombia, on 28 April later this year is projected as a broad intergovernmental, multi-sectoral platform, complementary to the UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change), and designed to identify legal, economic, and social pathways for phasing out fossil fuels.

The proposed climate conference seeks in the deliberation on financial and trade mechanisms, macroeconomic challenges, fossil fuel subsidy phase out, renewable energy acceleration, economic diversification, and labor reconversion.

The Belem climate conference had some immediate results, such as, following the leaders’ summit at Belem, Netherlands’ Prime Minister went to Aruba to announce the closure of the oil refinery with a Dutch green subsidy fund. As of 2030, the Netherlands will prohibit electricity production with coal.

The atoll nation of Tuvalu, which is currently facing total submergence due to rising sea level as an after-effect of global warming, raised the urgency of climate action while noting that achieving the climate goals required international cooperation.

Tuvalu was one of the first countries to call for the development of a fossil fuel treaty, offering the clearest pathway for ‘a negotiated, fair and forcible transition away from coal, oil and gas’. The International Court of Justice, too, confirmed that acting in line with climate science is a legal obligation.

The proposed treaty process complements the Paris Climate agreement by addressing fossil fuel phase out directly.

Urging global community to support the proposed treaty, one of Tuvalu ministers called out that, “We are already drowning, but we will not give up and we will never give up. We are headed towards a point of no return and we need to do something (fast)”.

The Belem conference did emphasize that phasing out fossil fuels requires substantial growth in renewable energy, which is in other words is the energy transition that is necessary to address climate goals and to achieve stable economies, and overall security.

Meanwhile, even as these heated dialogues are doing the rounds in contrasting political scenario, climate watch groups are coming up with findings that are warnings of dire consequences if actions on climate mitigation and adaptation processes are not initiated post-haste.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) noted that ‘a large region of the subtropical and the northeast North Atlantic, including the Norwegian Sea, had the warmest sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on record for the time of year’.

The SSTs were higher than the average in large parts of the North Pacific Ocean as well and were near normal in central and eastern Pacific Ocean, because of the prevailing weak La Nina conditions, C3S said.

In the Southern Hemisphere, where it is summer season now, temperatures in southern South America, Northern Africa, most of Australia and Antarctica were much higher than the normal. This lead to extensive and intense heat waves in many regions and even triggered devastating wildfires, the climate watch group said.

The excessive heat that generated wildfires in southeastern Australia in the second week of January earlier this year were made five times more likely and 1.6 degrees Celsius hotter due to global warming and consequent climate change, according to an analysis by the World Weather Attribution (WWA) consortium.

The cold snaps on land did not have much of an impact on sea surface temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere, especially close to Europe and North America. The average sea surface temperatures between the latitudes 60°S–60°N was 20.68°C was the fourth highest average SST on record.

All said and done, the unprecedented winter storm that lashed parts of the United States, including New York, earlier this year is a fair warning that climate extremes are becoming more extreme by the year.

 

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Two Cheers for Revolution

The dictatorial regimes in Tunisia and Egypt have collapsed in the face of large scale protests by the people of these countries. These events are now having a ripple effect… Read more »

The dictatorial regimes in Tunisia and Egypt have collapsed in the face of large scale protests by the people of these countries. These events are now having a ripple effect on the entire neighbourhood. Libya, Jordan, Yemen, Bahrain and many more autocratically ruled Arab states are now restive. As the entire world watches, a new wave of revolution is unfolding in the region, each demanding the end of autocracy and the introduction of democratic and transparent rule. It is amazing that most of these despotic regimes all the while had the blessing of the so called champions of democracy in the West, including the United States which had even gone to war to dismantle another dictatorship in Iraq, the chaotic repercussions of which are still unfolding in the unfortunate country. Everybody with a stake in the Middle East is worried, and this includes in particular USA and Israel. This is understandable, for negotiating terms (or bribing) with a few corrupt despots is a far easier proposition than dealing with the will of the entire populations of these countries, which is what democracy is about. Israel did not hide its worries for instance at the fall of the Hosni Sayyid Mubarak regime, which was both America and Israel friendly. Now that radical and democratic reforms if not regime changes in the entire Arab world seems quite imminent, the world is preparing for a very drastic overhauling of their Middle East policies.

Amidst the deluge of praises for the current democratic revolutions in the Middle East, eulogising the invincibility of people’s power, what is often forgotten is that there have been many other instances of the complete defeat of this same people’s power. Two momentous events, which happened about quarter of a century ago, close on the heels of each other, come to mind. The first is what is today popularly known as the 8-8-88 (August 8, 1988) pro-democracy uprising in Myanmar after the Military Junta there refused to give up power after the country’s charismatic leader, Aung San Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy, NLD won a landslide victory in the election that the government allowed in the country, probably confident they would be voted back. The world remembers how an estimated 2000 student street protestors were machine gunned down on the streets of Yangon in a crackdown which also resulted in the exodus of hundreds of thousands young Burmese dissidents to neighbouring countries to take refuge. Aung San Suu Kyi was also imprisoned and only recently released. The regime did not fall at the time, and despite pressures including economic sanctions by the West, the military junta continues to hold sway. This should knock down some of the optimism placed by so many crystal gazers on the so called people’s power.

The world again witnessed another pro-democracy movement brutally put down in China’s Tiananmen Square the very next year. After two months of protest demonstrations by students at the historic square, beginning April 14, the Communist government decided to roll in tanks and in June of the year committed another massacre of anti-government demonstrators. Even as a horrified world watched the street blood-letting, pro-democracy voices was nonetheless allowed to die a cruel death. Public memory is said to be notoriously short, but business memory proved shorter, and even as photographs and prophetic commentaries on the uprising predicting the fall of the rule of the Communist Party of China in the country began dwindling, cash-rich multi-national corporations began making a beeline to enter China to do business. Today, China is soaring high and has become the second largest economy of the world, having overtaken Japan only very recently. If the expansion of its economy continues in the same trajectory, as it is most likely to, economic pundits are already predicting this Communist country, which has no tolerance for democracy whatsoever, is set to overtake the US to become the largest economy of the world by the middle of this century. There are a few token show of disapproval by the West of China’s silencing of pro-democracy voices, such as the award of the Peace Nobel 2010 to jailed Chinese dissident Liu Xiaobo. This notwithstanding, the beeline to do business with China continues to get longer. Today, when anybody anywhere in the world buys a consumer good, from high end DSLR cameras from the top camera maker brands, to cheap toy guns, the overwhelming chances are, they would have the “Made in China” tag on them. So is this a case for celebrating or mourning the people’s power?

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